Is Mombasa the gateway to Africa?

Biashara Street, Mombasa

Is Mombasa the gateway to Africa?
Saturday – October 4, 2025

In previous posts I've described both Africa and specifically the Kenyan city Mombasa as the future and in my view it is very likely the case that the port city Mombasa is and will be the gateway not only to Africa but to the future. Indeed, I predict that in the future, the world will shift away from Asia or really transition away from a sinocentric and indocentric world to a afrocentric world, and as I've also explained in previous posts from this series, Africa has the population base required to uphold the material order. I believe that you may think of the material order as something that in the long run is quite unsustainable, and indeed this is no less true in the case of the low population base of Europe and Asia. Indeed, Asia will replace Europe in the short term, but in the long term Africa will take over and I believe that this will be the case more so for eastern Africa than for western Africa, and this has to do primarily with trade between Asia and Africa, and the simple circumstance that Eastern Africa is closer to Asia than Western Africa. I do also predict that what practically amounts to neocolonialism today in Africa will intensify as time goes on and I believe that China will continue to invest in Africa. But in the end, as I have explained in previous posts: Africa will become the truly superior power on Earth, and from Africa a new era will emerge, an era beyond the Kali Yuga, but that is a topic for another time.

    Why then Mombasa? Well, if we consider countries in East Africa such as Rwanda it could be construed that they would be the next tiger economies and indeed I believe that Rwanda will grow into a tiger economy, but don't forget that capitalism and the entire world economy still relies on maritime trade and this means that Rwanda while being a good start needs some kind of access to the sea, and this is just as well for Ethiopia/frm. Abyssinia. While men like Paul Kagame looks to countries such as Singapore, I believe that they also very much are connected to China and the style of the Chinese Communist Party, but let's also remember that the Chinese Communist Party isn't really communist, it's really capitalist, but in China Deng Xiaoping realized that you could put capitalism into motion without the humanist axiom, and this is what China in the last 50 years has shown and I believe that this picture of Chinese success is a powerful image to men that believe in the future. Indeed, we are now standing at a juncture where men more and more look away from democracy and towards autocracy as potentially better alternative to what must to them seem like a ruckus, loud, and inefficient order, and I also believe that the future won't be democratic, at least not in terms of governing. I've also considered the Chinese Global Governance Initiative, apropos "governance", and it does seem quite clear to me that the Chinese intention very much is to replace the United States of America, but let's not forget that the world is in a multi polar state at the moment, and while China appears strong, it also faces many challenges ahead, and this is also why I consider a Sino-Indian alliance/partnership insatiable and likely necessary for China ahead. Hopefully for the sake of the world and of India, the birth rate will not begin to decline in India, but this is yet another topic that I intend to cover at another time.

    There are of course other countries in Kenya's vicinity that have growing economies as well but most of these countries face enormous challenges, not the least Somalia which has been branded by the United Nations as a "failed state". Then let's also consider Ethiopia, Tanzania, Djibouti, Sudan, and even Egypt: all of these states face many challenges and in the case of Ethiopia it seems quite clear that although Ethiopia has size, it lack ports and any real access to the sea beyond Somaliland, where I also predict the potentiality of a future conflict and it may even be the case that Ethiopia just invades Northern Somalia and either establishes a puppet state or maybe even just annexes that portion of Somalia or they could also do the third option of just annexing limited parts of Somaliland while either leaving the rest of Somalia intact or potentially just making a smaller portion of Somaliland into a puppet state. Whatever the case, Kenya seems to have the best options ahead, and yes Tanzania and other more southern countries in Africa do also have much potential, it does seem to me that Kenya has the most advanced production base compared to these countries. I predict that many lion economies will rise in Africa in the coming decades and indeed I believe that Kenya will be the driver of this growth and change on the African continent. Egypt and Sudan are two countries that do lie on the eastern seaboard of Africa, but Egypt has to deal with the Suez Canal and the Red Sea and Sudan is currently embroiled in a major internal conflagration that has and will surely continue to decimate whatever production base that exists in that country. All in all, it seems clear to me: Kenya is the future and the future is African.

Reginald Drax – October 4, 2025.